BRIDGING
THE GAP

An analysis on the income disparity between
urban and rural areas in the Philippines

"Imperial Manila is not just a metaphor but a reality of unequal development and resource distribution that has left many regions lagging behind."

- Renato Constantino

The Family Income and Expenditure Survey (FIES) 2018 showed that the top 10% of households in Metro Manila earned about 40% of the total income in the region, whereas in poorer regions, the income distribution was even more skewed, with a higher concentration of income among the top earners.

Overview

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The concept of Imperial Manila reflects the stark differences between the capital region and the rest of the Philippines. This highlights the pressing issue of urban vs rural inequality. In line with SDG 10 , which aims to reduce inequality within and among countries, our project investigates the income disparity between urban and rural areas in the Philippines.

Is there a significant difference in average household income between urban and rural areas in the Philippines?

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Null hypothesis

There is no significant income disparity between urban and rural areas.

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Alternative hypothesis

There is a significant income disparity between urban and rural areas.

Is there a significant relationship between CPI and income disparity between urban and rural areas?

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Null hypothesis

There is no significant relationship between CPI and income disparity.

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Alternative hypothesis

There is a significant relationship between CPI and income disparity.

Data Collection

The datasets were accessed through the CEIC Data Global Database and the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) Database. Given that the data was obtained from the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) rather than collected directly by our team, it is important to acknowledge that the PSA has already safeguarded data quality through data cleaning, consistency checks, and error detection.

For RQ#1, we extracted data on urbanity and total household income from all editions of the Family Income and Expenditure Survey. For RQ#2, we extracted data on consumer price index or CPI.

View our datasets

Data Exploration

Preprocessing

Two databases were utilized as sources due to the need for comprehensive data coverage. In instances where one dataset lacked certain variables or characteristics, we would refer to the other dataset to ensure completeness. Furthermore, a cross-validation process was conducted, comparing and verifying the data from both sources to enhance data reliability and accuracy.
The following steps were done:

  1. Rename labels across all sheets for uniformity
  2. Sort the data by urbanity and then by region
  3. Convert relevant columns to numeric types
  4. Compute for the average household income per area type per year
  5. Perform interpolation for missing values

Visualization

Percentage of Regions that are Urban (By Region)

Percentage of Regions that are Urban (Descending Order)

The graphs above show that the National Capital Region (NCR) exhibits a markedly elevated urbanity percentage, reaching a perfect 100%. Conversely, all other regions depicted in the data display urbanity percentages of 70% or below.

Average Household Income per Area Type (Urban vs Rural)

Average Household Income per Area Type (Urban vs Rural)

The graphs above illustrate a discernible income disparity between urban and rural areas. The graphs also suggest that this gap widens over the years.

Relationship between Urbanity Percentage and Average Income per Region

Relationship between Urbanity Percentage and Average Income per Region (with Lines of Best Fit)

The graphs above suggest that, as the percentage of urbanity increases, the average household income of that region increases as well.

Moving on to the second research question: We then get the average income of each area and redefine a new table with rural and urban areas being its own column along with the year as the index.

We then add a new column called "CPI" and add it to the table. We preprocessed the data by making a new csv file and manually writing the years and the CPI associated with it.

Income Disparity and CPI Over the Years

Average Household Income per Area Type (Urban/Rural) Over the Years

The graphs above show that the CPI steadily increases per year. It can be observed that, as the CPI increases, the average income of the rural and urban areas start to diverge from each other. This suggests that there may be a correlation between CPI and income disparity between the two areas.

View exploratory data analysis

Testing

Considering that all the variables are independent of each other, the researchers have decided to use a two-tailed t-test in order to test the hypothesis. Furthermore, the researchers have decided to use an alpha value of 0.95. If the p-value is less than 0.05, then we reject the null hypothesis. Otherwise, we accept the null hypothesis.

Conclusions

Urbanity and Average Income

The researchers used a t-test to compare between urbanity and total income. After calculating the p-value, the researchers have found the p-value to be approximately 0. Since this value is less than 0.05, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude that there is indeed a relationship between urbanity and the average household income for each region.

CPI and Income Disparity

The researchers also used a t-test to compare the income disparity and the CPI of the Philippines. Disparity was computed by taking the average income of the rural and urban regions then subtracting rural from urban. Upon performing a t-test, the researchers have found a p-value of ~0.25. Because this is higher than 0.05, we accept the null hypothesis and therefore conclude that there is no significant relationship between CPI and income disparity.

Results

Discussion

Research Question 1

Our results suggest a significant difference in average household income between urban and rural areas in the Philippines, with urban areas consistently exhibiting higher income levels than rural areas. This disparity has been increasing over the years, highlighting a growing economic gap.

Higher income levels in urban areas, particularly in NCR, reflect greater access to economic opportunities, education, healthcare, and infrastructure. Conversely, rural areas, where income levels are significantly lower, often lack access or the means to avail of these essential services. This income disparity amplifies social inequalities, leading to a concentration of wealth and resources in urban areas, while rural areas remain underdeveloped.

This further highlights the concept of Imperial Manila—the centralization of economic and political power in the NCR— since our findings show that the region constantly has a 100% urbanity percentage. This urban-centric development model has led to an imbalance where Manila and other urban areas attract the majority of investments, jobs, and services, leaving other regions, particularly rural areas, underfunded and underdeveloped.

Research Question 2

Our graphs suggest that the CPI increases at a rate that is comparable to that of urban income levels, which imply that rural income levels are lagging behind. However, results from our significance tests indicate that there is no statistically significant relationship between CPI and income disparity, suggesting that there may be confounding factors involved.

With that knowledge, other factors or data that contribute to the income inequality between rural and urban areas may be considered and further explored. Aside from this, we might also need to consider politics and the ever-changing economic policies that affect both rural and urban areas. Truly, problems as complex as these should not be tied down to one factor alone but must be thoroughly evaluated with all the good candidate causes considered.

Limitations

The major limitation we encountered is that the data we used (FIES) is only recorded every 3 years. On top of that, there is also missing data in the FIES dataset for the year 2003. To resolve this, we performed interpolation in order to compensate for the missing values to achieve the most accurate results possible.

Conclusion

Our project analyzed the disparity in household income between urban and rural areas in the Philippines, and our results highlighted a significant and growing economic divide. Our findings also indicate that urban areas—especially the NCR— consistently have higher income levels, which reflects the centralization of economic opportunities and resources in urban areas.

One of the main goals of our study is to help local governments, especially those in rural areas, to better understand the needs of their constituents. We aim to assist leaders in governing their respective constituencies more effectively. The insights from our analysis could translate into meaningful policies that enhance community welfare and support the further development of these rural regions. This also includes better management and allocation of resources on key projects, across all regions in the Philippines.

Recommendations

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Create More Rural Opportunities

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Invest in rural development

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Enhance Rural Education Systems

The growing income disparity in the Philippines highlights the need for policies that promote inclusive development and resource distribution. One actionable step the government can take is to create more economic opportunities in rural areas. This can be done by encouraging employers to expand operations or to set up offices in rural areas. The government can offer incentives and subsidies for opportunities in rural areas as well. Moreover, policymakers should also prioritize investments in rural development. This can be done by improving healthcare access and developing infrastructure in these areas. Lastly, the government can enhance rural education systems by offering upskill training in rural areas and by providing more internship/OJT opportunities for schools in provinces. Generally, our country’s leaders can focus on allocating more funds and creating better policies for the development of rural areas.

About Us

Aneko Delfin

As a computer science student with a passion for art and design, I thrive at the intersection of creativity and innovation. In my free time, you'll find me playing the guitar, jogging around campus, or exploring thrift shops for unique finds.

William Santos

A Computer Science student that is interested in games, data science, and low-level systems

Raphael Luigi Tan

A Computer Science student interested in Cybersecurity and Data Privacy. "I strongly believe data is a powerful tool for future advancements but requires utmost ethicality when using them."